Effects of COVID-19 mRNA vaccination on HIV viremia and reservoir size (preprint)

Objective: The immunogenic nature of COVID-19 mRNA vaccines led to some initial concern that these could stimulate the HIV reservoir. We analyzed changes in plasma HIV loads (pVL) and reservoir size following COVID-19 mRNA vaccination in 62 people with HIV (PWH) receiving antiretroviral therapy (ART), and analyzed province-wide trends in pVL before and after the mass vaccination campaign. Design: Longitudinal observational cohort and province-wide analysis. Methods: 62 participants were sampled pre-vaccination, and one month after their first and second COVID-19 immunizations. Vaccine-induced anti-SARS-CoV-2-Spike antibodies in serum were measured using the Roche Elecsys Anti-S assay. HIV reservoirs were quantified using the Intact Proviral DNA Assay; pVL were measured using the cobas 6800 (LLOQ:20 copies/mL). The province-wide analysis included all 290,401 pVL performed in British Columbia, Canada between 2012-2022. Results: Pre-vaccination, the median intact reservoir size was 77 (IQR:20-204) HIV copies/million CD4+ T-cells, compared to 74 (IQR:27-212) and 65 (IQR:22-174) post-first and -second dose, respectively (all comparisons p>0.07). Pre-vaccination, 82% of participants had pVL<20 copies/mL (max:110 copies/mL), compared to 79% post-first dose (max:183 copies/mL) and 85% post-second dose (max:79 copies/mL) (p>0.4). The magnitude of the vaccine-elicited anti-SARS-CoV-2-Spike antibody response did not correlate with changes in reservoir size nor detectable pVL frequency (p>0.6). We found no evidence linking the COVID-19 mass vaccination campaign to population-level increases in detectable pVL frequency among all PWH in the province, nor among those who maintained pVL suppression on ART. Conclusion: We found no evidence that COVID-19 mRNA vaccines induced changes in HIV reservoir size nor plasma viremia.

Prediction of SARS-CoV-2 transmission dynamics based on population-level cycle threshold values: A Machine learning and mechanistic modeling study (preprint)

Background: Polymerase chain reaction (PCR) cycle threshold (Ct) values can be used to estimate the viral burden of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus type 2 (SARS-CoV-2) and predict population-level epidemic trends. We investigated the use of machine learning (ML) and epidemic transmission modeling based on Ct value distribution for SARS-CoV-2 incidence prediction during an Omicron-predominant period. Methods: Using simulated data, we developed a ML model to predict the reproductive number based on Ct value distribution, and validated it on out-of-sample province-level data. We also developed an epidemiological model and fitted it to province-level data to accurately predict incidence. Results: Based on simulated data, the ML model predicted the reproductive number with highest performance on out-of-sample province-level data. The epidemiological model was validated on outbreak data, and fitted to province-level data, and accurately predicted incidence. Conclusions: These modeling approaches can complement traditional surveillance, especially when diagnostic testing practices change over time. The models can be tailored to different epidemiological settings and used in real time to guide public health interventions.

Antibody response durability following three-dose COVID-19 vaccination in people with HIV receiving suppressive ART (preprint)

Background: Limited data exist regarding longer-term antibody responses following three-dose COVID-19 vaccination, and the impact of a first SARS-CoV-2 infection during this time, in people living with HIV (PLWH) receiving suppressive antiretroviral therapy (ART). We quantified wild-type-(WT), Omicron BA.1- and Omicron BA.5-specific responses up to six months post-third dose in 64 PLWH and 117 controls who remained COVID-19-naive or experienced their first SARS-CoV-2 infection during this time. Design: Longitudinal observational cohort. Methods: We quantified WT- and Omicron-specific Anti-Spike receptor-binding domain IgG concentrations, ACE2 displacement activities and live virus neutralization at one, three and six months post-third vaccine dose. Results: Third doses boosted all antibody measures above two-dose levels, but BA.1-specific responses remained significantly lower than WT-specific ones, with BA.5-specific responses lower still. Serum IgG concentrations declined at similar rates in COVID-19-naive PLWH and controls post-third dose (median WT- and BA.1-specific half-lives were between 66-74 days for both groups). Antibody function also declined significantly yet comparably between groups: six months post-third dose, BA.1-specific neutralization was undetectable in >80% of COVID-19 naive PLWH and >90% of controls. Breakthrough SARS-CoV-2 infection boosted antibody concentrations and function significantly above vaccine-induced levels in both PLWH and controls, though BA.5-specific neutralization remained significantly poorer than BA.1 even post-breakthrough. Conclusions: Following three-dose COVID-19 vaccination, antibody response durability in PLWH receiving ART is comparable to controls. PLWH also mounted strong responses to breakthrough infection. Due to temporal response declines however, COVID-19-naive individuals, regardless of HIV status, would benefit from a fourth dose within 6 months of their third.

Brief Report: Impact of age and SARS-CoV-2 breakthrough infection on humoral immune responses after three doses of COVID-19 mRNA vaccine (preprint)

Longitudinal immune response data following three-dose COVID-19 mRNA vaccination remain limited, particularly in older adults and those experiencing their first SARS-CoV-2 infection. We quantified wild-type- and Omicron-specific antibody concentrations and virus neutralization activity up to six months post-third-dose in COVID-19-naive adults aged 24-98 years. Among participants who remained COVID-19-naive, antibody concentrations were comparable between age groups over time. Omicron-specific neutralization declined more rapidly in older adults, and at six months was undetectable in 56% and 96% of COVID-19-naive younger and older adults, respectively. Post-vaccine SARS-CoV-2 breakthrough infections increased wild-type- and Omicron-specific responses above three-dose vaccination alone, illustrating beneficial hybrid immunity.

People with HIV receiving suppressive antiretroviral therapy show typical antibody durability after dual COVID-19 vaccination, and strong third dose responses (preprint)

Background: Longer-term humoral responses to two-dose COVID-19 vaccines remain incompletely characterized in people living with HIV (PLWH), as do initial responses to a third dose. Methods: We measured antibodies against the SARS-CoV-2 spike protein receptor-binding domain, ACE2 displacement and viral neutralization against wild-type and Omicron strains up to six months following two-dose vaccination, and one month following the third dose, in 99 PLWH receiving suppressive antiretroviral therapy, and 152 controls. Results: Though humoral responses naturally decline following two-dose vaccination, we found no evidence of lower antibody concentrations nor faster rates of antibody decline in PLWH compared to controls after accounting for sociodemographic, health and vaccine-related factors. We also found no evidence of poorer viral neutralization in PLWH after two doses, nor evidence that a low nadir CD4+ T-cell count compromised responses. Post-third-dose humoral responses substantially exceeded post-second-dose levels, though anti-Omicron responses were consistently weaker than against wild-type. Nevertheless, post-third-dose responses in PLWH were comparable to or higher than controls. An mRNA-1273 third dose was the strongest consistent correlate of higher post-third-dose responses. Conclusion: PLWH receiving suppressive antiretroviral therapy mount strong antibody responses after two- and three-dose COVID-19 vaccination. Results underscore the immune benefits of third doses in light of Omicron.

Older Adults Mount Less Durable Humoral Responses to a Two-dose COVID-19 mRNA Vaccine Regimen, but Strong Initial Responses to a Third Dose (preprint)

Background. Two-dose mRNA vaccines reduce COVID-19 related hospitalization and mortality, but immune protection declines over time. As such, third vaccine doses are now recommended, particularly for older adults. We examined immune response durability up to 6 months after two vaccine doses, and immunogenicity after a third vaccine dose, in 151 adults ranging in age from 24 to 98 years. Methods. Specimens were collected from 81 healthcare workers (median age 41 years), 56 older adults (median 78 years) and 14 COVID-19 convalescent individuals (median 48 years), at one, three and six months following the second dose, and from 15 HCW, 28 older adults and 3 convalescent individuals at one month following a third dose. Binding antibodies to the SARS-CoV-2 spike receptor binding domain were quantified using a commercial immunoassay. Virus neutralizing activity was assessed using a live SARS-CoV-2 infection assay. Results. Compared to healthcare workers, older adults displayed ~0.3 log10 lower peak binding antibodies one month after the second dose (p<0.0001) and modestly faster rates of antibody decline thereafter (p=0.0067). A higher burden of chronic health conditions was independently associated with faster rates of antibody decline after correction for age, sociodemographic factors, and vaccine-related variables. Peak neutralizing activity was 4-fold lower in older adults one month after the second dose (p<0.0001) and became undetectable in the majority of individuals by six months. One month after a third dose, binding antibodies and neutralizing activities surpassed peak values achieved after two doses in both healthcare workers and older adults, and differences between these groups were no longer statistically significant. Compared to both naive groups, convalescent individuals displayed slower rates of binding antibody decline (p<0.006) and maintained higher neutralizing activity six months after the second dose. Conclusions. Immune responses to two-dose COVID-19 mRNA vaccines are overall weaker in older adults, and also decline more quickly over time, compared to younger adults. A third COVID-19 mRNA vaccine dose enhanced binding and neutralizing antibodies to levels higher than those observed after two vaccine doses, but the rate of decline of these responses should be monitored, particularly in older adults with a higher burden of chronic health conditions.

Reduced magnitude and durability of humoral immune responses by COVID-19 mRNA vaccines among older adults (preprint)

BackgroundmRNA vaccines reduce COVID-19 incidence and severity, but the durability of vaccine-induced immune responses, particularly among the elderly, remains incompletely characterized. MethodsAnti-spike RBD antibody titers, ACE2 competition and virus neutralizing activities were longitudinally assessed in 151 healthcare workers and older adults (overall aged 24-98 years) up to three months after vaccination. ResultsOlder adults exhibited lower antibody responses after one and two vaccine doses for all measures. In multivariable analyses correcting for sociodemographic, chronic health and vaccine-related variables, age remained independently associated with all response outcomes. The number of chronic health conditions was additionally associated with lower binding antibody responses after two doses, and male sex with lower ACE2 competition activity after one dose. Responses waned universally at three months after the second dose, but binding antibodies, ACE2 competition and neutralizing activities remained significantly lower with age. Older adults also displayed reduced ability to block ACE2 binding by the Delta variant. ConclusionsThe humoral immune response to COVID-19 mRNA vaccines is significantly weaker with age, and universally wanes over time. This will likely reduce antibody-mediated protection against SARS-CoV-2 and the Delta variant as the pandemic progresses. Older adults may benefit from additional immunizations as a priority.

Optimizing SARS-CoV-2 Variant of Concern Screening: Experience from British Columbia, Canada, Early 2021 (preprint)

Comprehensive and timely testing is required for SARS-CoV-2 variant of concern (VoC) screening. This study demonstrated the feasibility of a combined targeted and whole genome sequencing testing strategy for VoC prevalence assessment in British Columbia, which directly informed provincial VoC screening strategy implementation, and public health efforts.

Rapid detection of SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern identifying a cluster of B.1.1.28/P.1 variant in British Columbia, Canada (preprint)

Using a real-time RT-PCR-based algorithm to detect SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern, we rapidly identified 77 variants (57-B.1.1.7, 7-B.1.351, and 13-B.1.1.28/P.1). This protocol enabled our laboratory to screen all SARS-CoV-2 positive samples for variants, and identified a cluster of B.1.1.28/P.1 cases, a variant not previously known to circulate in British Columbia.

Practical challenges to the clinical implementation of saliva for SARS-CoV-2 detection (preprint)

Due to global shortages of flocked nasopharyngeal swabs and appropriate viral transport media during the COVID-19 pandemic, alternate diagnostic specimens for SARS-CoV-2 detection are sought. The accuracy and feasibility of saliva samples collected and transported without specialized collection devices or media were evaluated. Saliva demonstrated good concordance with paired nasopharyngeal swabs for SARS-CoV-2 detection in 67/74 cases (90.5%), though barriers to saliva collection were observed in long-term care residents and outbreak settings. SARS-CoV-2 RNA was stable in human saliva at room temperature for up to 48 hours after initial specimen collection, informing appropriate transport time and conditions.

Evaluation of nasopharyngeal swab collection techniques for nucleic acid recovery and participant experience: recommendations for COVID-19 diagnostics (preprint)

Nasopharyngeal swabs are critical to the diagnosis of respiratory infections including COVID-19, but collection techniques vary. We compared two recommended nasopharyngeal swab collection techniques in adult volunteers and found that swab rotation following nasopharyngeal contact did not recover additional nucleic acid (as measured by human DNA/RNA copy number). Rotation was also less tolerable for participants. Notably, both discomfort and nucleic acid recovery were significantly higher in Asians, consistent with nasal anatomy differences. Our results suggest that it is unnecessary to rotate the swab in place following contact with the nasopharynx, and reveal that procedural discomfort levels can differ by ethnicity. summaryNasopharyngeal swabs are critical to COVID-19 diagnostics, but collection techniques vary. Comparison of two collection techniques revealed that swab rotation did not recover more nucleic acid and was more uncomfortable. Discomfort and biological material recovery also varied by participant ethnicity.

Automated molecular testing of saliva for SARS-CoV-2 detection (preprint)

With surging global demand for increased SARS-CoV-2 testing capacity, clinical laboratories seek automated, high-throughput molecular solutions, particularly for specimen types which do not rely upon supply of specialized collection devices or viral transport media (VTM). Saliva was evaluated as a diagnostic specimen for SARS-CoV-2 using the cobas(R) SARS-CoV-2 Test on the cobas(R) 6800 instrument. Saliva specimens submitted from various patient populations under investigation for COVID-19 from March-July 2020 were processed in the laboratory with sterile phosphate-buffered saline in a 1:2 dilution and vortexed with glass beads. The processed saliva samples were tested using a commercial assay for detection of the SARS-CoV-2 E gene (LightMix(R)) in comparison to the cobas(R) SARS-CoV-2 Test. 22/64 (34.4%) of the saliva samples were positive for SARS-CoV-2. Positive and negative concordance between the LightMix(R) and cobas(R) assays were 100%. There was no cross-contamination of samples observed on the cobas(R) 6800. The overall invalid rate for saliva on the cobas(R) 6800 (1/128, 0.78%) was similar to the baseline invalid rate observed for nasopharyngeal swabs/VTM and plasma samples. Saliva is a feasible specimen type for SARS-CoV-2 testing on the cobas(R) 6800, with potential to improve turnaround time and enhance testing capacity.

Suboptimal biological sampling as a probable cause of false-negative COVID-19 diagnostic test results (preprint)

Improper nasopharyngeal swab collection could contribute to false-negative COVID-19 results. In support of this, specimens from confirmed or suspected COVID-19 cases that tested negative or indeterminate (i.e. suspected false-negatives) contained less human DNA (a stable molecular marker of sampling quality) compared to a representative pool of specimens submitted for testing.